Viendo archivo del martes, 10 mayo 2005
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2005 May 10 2225 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 130 Publicado el 2200Z a las 10 May 2005IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 09-2100Z hasta 10-2100Z Solar activity was moderate. Region 758 (S10W36)
produced an M1/Sf at 0523 UTC. The region has continued to develop
and has formed a delta configuration in the middle spots. The group
produced additional C-class events during the day. Region 759
(N12E50) also produced several C-class events and has some magnetic
complexity. New Region 762 (S08E18) emerged on the disk today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be
moderate for the next three days with Region 758 and Region 759 as
the most likely sources for energetic events. There is a slight
chance for a major flare or proton producing flare.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 09-2100Z a 10-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was predominantly quiet to unsettled during the
past 24 hours.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled for the next three days.
III. Probabilidades del evento 11 May a 13 May
| Clase M | 65% | 65% | 65% |
| Clase X | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Protón | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 10 May 119 Previsto 11 May-13 May 120/120/120 Media de 90 Días 10 May 093
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 09 May 010/011 Estimado Afr/Ap 10 May 010/012 Previsto Afr/Ap 11 May-13 May 010/012-005/010-005/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 11 May a 13 May
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
All times in UTC
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