Viendo archivo del domingo, 22 mayo 2005
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2005 May 22 2210 UTC# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, #Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force. #
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 142 Publicado el 2200Z a las 22 May 2005IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 21-2100Z hasta 22-2100Z Solar activity remained at very low levels. Region 766
(N15E62) has fully rotated onto the visible disk and it appears to
be a DAO beta spot group. Region 767 (S07E67) has also fully
rotated onto the visible disk and it appears to be a DAO beta spot
group. Both of these regions were relatively quiet during the
period. No new regions were numbered today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be at
very low levels.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 21-2100Z a 22-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at predominantly quiet to active levels. A
brief period of minor storming was observed at the Boulder
magnetometer between 22/0000 and 0300Z. Several hours of a
sustained southward Bz preceded the storming conditions. The
greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached
high levels today.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at predominantly quiet to unsettled levels. Isolated
active conditions may be possible with periods of sustained
southward Bz throughout the interval at the higher latitudes.
III. Probabilidades del evento 23 May a 25 May
| Clase M | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 22 May 082 Previsto 23 May-25 May 085/085/085 Media de 90 Días 22 May 091
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 21 May 013/021 Estimado Afr/Ap 22 May 016/018 Previsto Afr/Ap 23 May-25 May 004/010-008/012-004/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 23 May a 25 May
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 20% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 05% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 25% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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