Viendo archivo del viernes, 10 junio 2005

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2005 Jun 10 2210 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, #Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force. #

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 161 Publicado el 2200Z a las 10 Jun 2005

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 09-2100Z hasta 10-2100Z

Solar activity was at low levels. Region 772 (S18W84) produced the largest flare of the period, a C2 x-ray event that occurred at 10/0310Z. Region 775 (N08W05) underwent a slight decay in penumbral coverage today. The southern appendage off the dominant spot in the cluster continues to exhibit delta characteristics. No flares were observed from this region during the period. Region 776 (S06E07) also appeared to show a slight decay over the interval although the region continues to depict moderate magnetic complexity. Region 777 (N05E57) was numbered today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be at low levels. Regions 775 and 776 are both capable of producing an isolated low level M-class flare.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 09-2100Z a 10-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet levels. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels again today.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at predominantly quiet to unsettled levels. Beginning late on 11 June, isolated active conditions may occur due to the arrival of the very faint partial halo CME that occurred on 8 June.
III. Probabilidades del evento 11 Jun a 13 Jun
Clase M40%40%40%
Clase X05%05%05%
Protón05%05%05%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       10 Jun 114
  Previsto   11 Jun-13 Jun  110/100/100
  Media de 90 Días        10 Jun 094
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 09 Jun  003/005
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 10 Jun  003/007
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 11 Jun-13 Jun  003/007-010/012-008/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 11 Jun a 13 Jun
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo15%20%15%
Tormenta Menor05%10%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo20%30%20%
Tormenta Menor05%10%10%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%05%05%

All times in UTC

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