Viendo archivo del lunes, 27 junio 2005
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2005 Jun 27 2210 UTC# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, #Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force. #
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 178 Publicado el 2200Z a las 27 Jun 2005IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 26-2100Z hasta 27-2100Z Solar activity was low. New Region 781 (N16E76)
produced an impulsive C2.8 flare at 0848 UTC.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low. Region 781 may produce C-class flares.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 26-2100Z a 27-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet, with solar wind speed ending the
period at 400 km/s. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at
geosynchronous orbit remained above high levels.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled on 28 June, from the possible
effects of a weak CME shock associated with the disappearing
filament observed on 25 June. Activity should subside to quiet
conditions on 29-30 June.
III. Probabilidades del evento 28 Jun a 30 Jun
| Clase M | 05% | 10% | 10% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 27 Jun 077 Previsto 28 Jun-30 Jun 085/090/090 Media de 90 Días 27 Jun 093
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 26 Jun 006/008 Estimado Afr/Ap 27 Jun 004/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 28 Jun-30 Jun 012/012-008/008-008/012
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 28 Jun a 30 Jun
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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