Viendo archivo del miércoles, 29 junio 2005

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2005 Jun 29 2210 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, #Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force. #

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 180 Publicado el 2200Z a las 29 Jun 2005

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 28-2100Z hasta 29-2100Z

Solar activity was very low. New Regions 782 (S17E09), 783 (S01E59), and 784 (N16E70) were numbered today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low to low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 28-2100Z a 29-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was mostly quiet. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels today.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be unsettled to active with an isolated minor storm period possible on 01 and 02 July due to a recurrent coronal hole high speed stream.
III. Probabilidades del evento 30 Jun a 02 Jul
Clase M05%05%05%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       29 Jun 088
  Previsto   30 Jun-02 Jul  095/095/100
  Media de 90 Días        29 Jun 093
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 28 Jun  003/005
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 29 Jun  005/006
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 30 Jun-02 Jul  008/008-010/020-012/020
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 30 Jun a 02 Jul
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo20%25%25%
Tormenta Menor10%10%15%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%05%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo20%35%35%
Tormenta Menor10%25%25%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%15%15%

All times in UTC

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