Viendo archivo del miércoles, 17 agosto 2005

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2005 Aug 17 2204 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 229 Publicado el 2200Z a las 17 Aug 2005

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 16-2100Z hasta 17-2100Z

Solar activity was very low. Region 797 (S14W23) continues to slowly decay in area and magnetic complexity. No new regions were numbered today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 16-2100Z a 17-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was mostly unsettled to active. Solar wind speed at ACE has been variable between approximately 600 km/s to 750 km/s due to the continued influence of a coronal hole high speed stream.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at mostly unsettled levels on 18 August and gradually diminish to quiet to unsettled conditions by 19 - 20 August.
III. Probabilidades del evento 18 Aug a 20 Aug
Clase M05%05%05%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       17 Aug 077
  Previsto   18 Aug-20 Aug  075/080/080
  Media de 90 Días        17 Aug 093
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 16 Aug  012/019
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 17 Aug  012/016
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 18 Aug-20 Aug  010/015-008/008-004/007
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 18 Aug a 20 Aug
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo25%20%15%
Tormenta Menor10%10%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo35%20%20%
Tormenta Menor15%10%10%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa10%01%01%

All times in UTC

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