Viendo archivo del sábado, 20 agosto 2005

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2005 Aug 20 2204 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 232 Publicado el 2200Z a las 20 Aug 2005

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 19-2100Z hasta 20-2100Z

Solar activity was very low. Only small B-class flares occurred. Region 798 (S11W33) remains the largest sunspot group on the visible disk and has continued to grow in size and complexity. Region 801 (N06E54) was numbered.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low to low. Most activity is expected in Region 798.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 19-2100Z a 20-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit remained high.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be mostly quiet.
III. Probabilidades del evento 21 Aug a 23 Aug
Clase M10%10%10%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       20 Aug 098
  Previsto   21 Aug-23 Aug  100/100/105
  Media de 90 Días        20 Aug 093
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 19 Aug  006/007
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 20 Aug  005/007
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 21 Aug-23 Aug  005/005-005/005-010/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 21 Aug a 23 Aug
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo15%15%15%
Tormenta Menor05%05%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo30%30%30%
Tormenta Menor10%10%10%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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