Viendo archivo del jueves, 25 agosto 2005
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2005 Aug 25 2204 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 237 Publicado el 2200Z a las 25 Aug 2005IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 24-2100Z hasta 25-2100Z Solar activity was high. Region 803 (N12E67) produced
an impulsive M6/1n flare at 0440 UTC. The event was associated with
a CME off the east limb. Region 800 (N17W35) is currently the
largest on the disk but was quiet and stable. New Region 804
(N11E12) emerged on the disk today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low,
but there is a chance for an isolated M-class event from Region 800
or Region 803 during the next three days (26-28 August).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 24-2100Z a 25-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was predominantly at active to minor storm
levels. Today's solar wind data was generally consistent with a
coronal hole stream: velocities were elevated and the magnetic field
indicated ongoing wave-like fluctuations. The speed gradually
declined from initial values around 730 km/s to day-end values
around 620 km/s. The greater than 10 MeV proton event that began at
22/2040 UTC ended today at 25/0040 UTC. The peak flux was 330 PFU at
23/1045 UTC. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous
orbit reached high levels.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be predominantly unsettled with a chance for isolated
active periods for 26 August. Conditions should be generally
unsettled for 27-28 August.
III. Probabilidades del evento 26 Aug a 28 Aug
| Clase M | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 25 Aug 092 Previsto 26 Aug-28 Aug 095/095/090 Media de 90 Días 25 Aug 094
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 24 Aug 072/110 Estimado Afr/Ap 25 Aug 020/025 Previsto Afr/Ap 26 Aug-28 Aug 015/015-010/008-010/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 26 Aug a 28 Aug
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 40% | 30% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 15% | 10% | 10% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 35% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 05% | 05% |
All times in UTC
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