Viendo archivo del viernes, 2 septiembre 2005

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2005 Sep 02 2204 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 245 Publicado el 2200Z a las 02 Sep 2005

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 01-2100Z hasta 02-2100Z

Solar activity was very low. Region 806 produced a long duration B4 flare at 01/2321 UTC with an associated CME first seen in LASCO imagery at 01/2354 UTC. This CME was a complex full halo event, with the biggest contribution believed to have its origin on the far side of the sun.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low to low. There is a chance for C-class activity from Region 805.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 01-2100Z a 02-2100Z
The geomagnetic field ranged from quiet to minor storm levels. Minor storming occurred between 0600 - 0900 UTC and again between 1600 - 1800 UTC after the arrival of a transient shock at approximately 02/1340 UTC from the CME on 31 August. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels today.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at active levels with a chance for isolated minor storming on 02 September as the transient flow passes. The geomagnetic field should be at unsettled levels on 03 September. Unsettled to active conditions are expected on 04 September due to the arrival of the CME associated with the long duration B4 flare.
III. Probabilidades del evento 03 Sep a 05 Sep
Clase M05%05%05%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       02 Sep 077
  Previsto   03 Sep-05 Sep  075/080/085
  Media de 90 Días        02 Sep 093
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 01 Sep  011/021
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 02 Sep  018/020
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 03 Sep-05 Sep  020/025-008/012-012/015
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 03 Sep a 05 Sep
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo35%15%20%
Tormenta Menor20%10%15%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa10%05%05%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo40%20%25%
Tormenta Menor30%15%20%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa20%05%05%

All times in UTC

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