Viendo archivo del miércoles, 28 septiembre 2005
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2005 Sep 28 2204 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 271 Publicado el 2200Z a las 28 Sep 2005IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 27-2100Z hasta 28-2100Z Solar activity was very low. Regions 810 (N08W74) and
812 (S02E05) produced no flares and exhibited no significant
development. No new regions were numbered today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 27-2100Z a 28-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to active. Solar wind speed remains
low, with end-of-day speeds around 370 km/s. Active periods were
due to sustained southward Bz between 0100 - 0900 UTC.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be unsettled to active with possible isolated minor
storming on 29 September as a recurrent coronal hole high speed
stream moves into geoeffective position. Mostly unsettled
conditions are expected on 30 September and 01 October.
III. Probabilidades del evento 29 Sep a 01 Oct
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 28 Sep 075 Previsto 29 Sep-01 Oct 075/070/070 Media de 90 Días 28 Sep 093
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 27 Sep 010/013 Estimado Afr/Ap 28 Sep 010/020 Previsto Afr/Ap 29 Sep-01 Oct 010/020-008/015-008/015
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 29 Sep a 01 Oct
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 35% | 30% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 15% | 10% | 10% |
All times in UTC
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