Viendo archivo del domingo, 2 octubre 2005
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2005 Oct 02 2204 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 275 Publicado el 2200Z a las 02 Oct 2005IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 01-2100Z hasta 02-2100Z Solar activity was very low.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low on 03 October. Activity is expected to increase to low levels
with isolated M-flares possible on 04 and 05 October due to the
return of old Region 808 (S09, L=232). Region 808 produced a total
of 13 major flares (M5 or greater) during its last transit across
the visible disk.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 01-2100Z a 02-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to active. Active periods were due to
extended intervals of southward Bz. The greater than 2 MeV electron
flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels today.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled with isolated active periods
possible.
III. Probabilidades del evento 03 Oct a 05 Oct
| Clase M | 10% | 25% | 25% |
| Clase X | 01% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 05% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 02 Oct 075 Previsto 03 Oct-05 Oct 080/085/090 Media de 90 Días 02 Oct 091
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 01 Oct 010/013 Estimado Afr/Ap 02 Oct 008/010 Previsto Afr/Ap 03 Oct-05 Oct 008/010-008/010-008/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 03 Oct a 05 Oct
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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