Viendo archivo del viernes, 14 octubre 2005
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2005 Oct 14 2204 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 287 Publicado el 2200Z a las 14 Oct 2005IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 13-2100Z hasta 14-2100Z Solar activity has been very low. A new region,
numbered 815 (N08E75), appeared on the east limb.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 13-2100Z a 14-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet. The greater than 2 MeV electron
flux at geosynchronous orbit was at high levels.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet, with unsettled to active conditions possible
on 15-16 October as a coronal hole high speed solar wind stream
becomes geoeffective.
III. Probabilidades del evento 15 Oct a 17 Oct
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 14 Oct 078 Previsto 15 Oct-17 Oct 080/080/080 Media de 90 Días 14 Oct 088
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 13 Oct 002/004 Estimado Afr/Ap 14 Oct 002/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 15 Oct-17 Oct 008/012-008/010-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 15 Oct a 17 Oct
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 25% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 30% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 20% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
All times in UTC
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