Viendo archivo del domingo, 13 noviembre 2005
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2005 Nov 13 2204 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 317 Publicado el 2200Z a las 13 Nov 2005IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 12-2100Z hasta 13-2100Z Solar activity was moderate. Region 822 (S06E66)
produced an M2.5 flare at 13/1451 UTC, and several C-class events in
the last 24 hours. This group is the only spotted region on the
solar disk and is still to close to the limb for a detailed
analysis.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low.
Region 822 has the potential to produce an isolated M-class flare.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 12-2100Z a 13-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to active. The solar wind averaged
around 420 km/s with the IMF Bz fluctuating between +1 to -4 nT.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled.
III. Probabilidades del evento 14 Nov a 16 Nov
| Clase M | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 13 Nov 088 Previsto 14 Nov-16 Nov 090/095/100 Media de 90 Días 13 Nov 084
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 12 Nov 007/010 Estimado Afr/Ap 13 Nov 008/012 Previsto Afr/Ap 14 Nov-16 Nov 005/008-008/010-008/012
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 14 Nov a 16 Nov
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 05% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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