Viendo archivo del miércoles, 16 noviembre 2005

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2005 Nov 16 2204 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 320 Publicado el 2200Z a las 16 Nov 2005 IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 15/2100Z to 16/2100Z: Solar activity was low. Region 822 (S08E28) produced two C-class flares during the past 24 hours, a C2.3 at 15/2110Z and a C5.9 at 16/1213Z. The region developed more spots in the interior, but remains a beta-gamma spot group. A small filament, centered at N12W10, erupted at 16/1436Z and appears to be associated with a slow CME first observed in LASCO imagery at 16/1630Z.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low to moderate.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 15-2100Z a 16-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet to unsettled.
III. Probabilidades del evento 17 Nov a 19 Nov
Clase M50%50%50%
Clase X05%05%05%
Protón05%05%05%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       16 Nov 094
  Previsto   17 Nov-19 Nov  095/095/095
  Media de 90 Días        16 Nov 085
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 15 Nov  005/004
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 16 Nov  007/007
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 17 Nov-19 Nov  010/008-007/005-005/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 17 Nov a 19 Nov
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo20%15%10%
Tormenta Menor10%05%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa05%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo20%20%10%
Tormenta Menor10%10%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa05%05%01%

All times in UTC

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