Viendo archivo del jueves, 8 diciembre 2005

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2005 Dec 08 2204 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 342 Publicado el 2200Z a las 08 Dec 2005

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 07-2100Z hasta 08-2100Z

Solar activity was low. A C1 flare occurred at 08/1902 UTC from a new region just beyond the east limb near N19E90. Both Regions 826 (S06W80) and 830 (N12W01) produced small B-class flares. New Region 832 (S14W61) emerged on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low. C-class activity is possible in Regions 826 and 830 as well as the new region rotating onto the disk near N19E90.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 07-2100Z a 08-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was high.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet to unsettled.
III. Probabilidades del evento 09 Dec a 11 Dec
Clase M05%05%05%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       08 Dec 090
  Previsto   09 Dec-11 Dec  085/080/080
  Media de 90 Días        08 Dec 085
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 07 Dec  001/000
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 08 Dec  000/000
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 09 Dec-11 Dec  005/007-008/012-008/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 09 Dec a 11 Dec
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo15%15%15%
Tormenta Menor05%05%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo20%20%20%
Tormenta Menor10%10%10%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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