Viendo archivo del martes, 24 enero 2006
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2006 Jan 24 2204 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 024 Publicado el 2200Z a las 24 Jan 2006IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 23-2100Z hasta 24-2100Z Solar activity remained at low levels. Region 848
(S19W41) produced multiple B and C-class flares today, the largest
was a C3 x-ray flare occurring at 24/2217Z. This regions sunspot
area increased during the period and magnetic analysis continues to
show weak gamma characteristics. No new regions were numbered
today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be at
low levels. Region 848 remains capable of producing C-class flare
activity.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 23-2100Z a 24-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to active levels. The elevated
conditions are due to a favorably positioned high speed coronal hole
stream, which has been waning over the later part of the period.
Wind speed was nearing 400 km/sec at the time of this writing.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels.
III. Probabilidades del evento 25 Jan a 27 Jan
| Clase M | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 24 Jan 093 Previsto 25 Jan-27 Jan 095/095/095 Media de 90 Días 24 Jan 087
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 23 Jan 013/015 Estimado Afr/Ap 24 Jan 010/010 Previsto Afr/Ap 25 Jan-27 Jan 008/010-005/008-005/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 25 Jan a 27 Jan
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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