Viendo archivo del martes, 21 febrero 2006
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2006 Feb 21 2203 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 052 Publicado el 2200Z a las 21 Feb 2006IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 20-2100Z hasta 21-2100Z Solar activity remains at very low levels. Activity
was limited to a small disappearing solar filament which occurred in
the southwest quadrant. The visible solar disk remains spotless.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to continue
at very low levels.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 20-2100Z a 21-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to active levels. The elevated
conditions are due to a favorably positioned transequatorial coronal
hole. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit
reached high levels today.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at quiet to active levels. The coronal hole should
begin to wane late on 24 February with conditions diminishing to
quiet to unsettled levels.
III. Probabilidades del evento 22 Feb a 24 Feb
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 21 Feb 076 Previsto 22 Feb-24 Feb 075/075/075 Media de 90 Días 21 Feb 085
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 20 Feb 009/020 Estimado Afr/Ap 21 Feb 012/015 Previsto Afr/Ap 22 Feb-24 Feb 012/020-010/015-010/015
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 22 Feb a 24 Feb
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 35% | 30% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 05% | 05% |
All times in UTC
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