Viendo archivo del martes, 7 marzo 2006

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2006 Mar 08 0005 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 066 Publicado el 2200Z a las 07 Mar 2006

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 06-2100Z hasta 07-2100Z

Solar activity was very low. Region 856 (S08W38) produced a long-duration B2 flare at 07/1614Z. A six degree disappearing filament, centered at N02E24, was reported between 06/1000Z and 06/2255Z.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to remain very low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 06-2100Z a 07-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to active. Active conditions occurred from 07/0000Z to 07/0600Z as a result of a prolonged period of southward IMF Bz.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet to unsettled for the next 24 hours. On 09-10 March, predominantly unsettled conditions are expected, with possible isolated active periods. This increased activity is due to a high speed coronal hole stream.
III. Probabilidades del evento 08 Mar a 10 Mar
Clase M01%01%01%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       07 Mar 074
  Previsto   08 Mar-10 Mar  075/075/075
  Media de 90 Días        07 Mar 082
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 06 Mar  008/008
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 07 Mar  012/012
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 08 Mar-10 Mar  008/010-010/015-012/015
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 08 Mar a 10 Mar
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo15%20%25%
Tormenta Menor05%10%15%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%05%10%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo30%35%35%
Tormenta Menor15%20%20%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa05%10%10%

All times in UTC

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