Viendo archivo del lunes, 1 mayo 2006
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2006 May 01 2203 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 121 Publicado el 2200Z a las 01 May 2006IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 30-2100Z hasta 01-2100Z Solar activity was low. Region 875 (S11W33) produced a
long-duration C1/sf flare at 01/1535Z. Region 876 (S15W07) produced
a B9/sf flare at 01/0157Z. A Type II radio sweep, with an estimated
shock speed of 436 Km/sec was associated with this flare.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 30-2100Z a 01-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be predominantly unsettled. Intervals of active
conditions are possible.
III. Probabilidades del evento 02 May a 04 May
| Clase M | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 01 May 093 Previsto 02 May-04 May 095/095/095 Media de 90 Días 01 May 081
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 30 Apr 000/001 Estimado Afr/Ap 01 May 003/004 Previsto Afr/Ap 02 May-04 May 012/015-015/020-008/012
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 02 May a 04 May
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 25% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 15% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 30% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 20% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 10% | 05% |
All times in UTC
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