Viendo archivo del lunes, 28 agosto 2006
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2006 Aug 28 2203 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 240 Publicado el 2200Z a las 28 Aug 2006IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 27-2100Z hasta 28-2100Z Solar activity has been low. Region 905 (S08W22)
produced a C1.8 flare during the past 24 hours.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low
with a continued chance for C-class flares from Region 905.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 27-2100Z a 28-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at mostly quiet to unsettled
conditions. The solar wind speed remains elevated at approximately
550 km/s due to a coronal hole high speed stream.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at active levels on 29 August due to the combination
of a partial halo CME observed on 26 August and the currently
geoeffective coronal hole high speed stream. On 30 August
conditions should abate to unsettled and then to quiet on 31 August.
III. Probabilidades del evento 29 Aug a 31 Aug
| Clase M | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 28 Aug 076 Previsto 29 Aug-31 Aug 075/075/075 Media de 90 Días 28 Aug 077
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 27 Aug 012/018 Estimado Afr/Ap 28 Aug 012/020 Previsto Afr/Ap 29 Aug-31 Aug 020/020-012/015-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 29 Aug a 31 Aug
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 40% | 30% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 15% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 45% | 35% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 20% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 10% | 05% |
All times in UTC
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