Viendo archivo del jueves, 14 septiembre 2006
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2006 Sep 14 2204 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 257 Publicado el 2200Z a las 14 Sep 2006IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 13-2100Z hasta 14-2100Z Solar activity was low. Region 909 (S08W95) produced a
C1 flare at 14/0735Z, along with multiple B-class flares, during the
past 24 hours. Region 908 (S13W47) produced two B-class flares.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low. There is a slight chance for an isolated C-class event.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 13-2100Z a 14-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was mostly quiet.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be predominantly quiet on 15 Sep. Quiet to unsettled
conditions, with isolated active periods are expected for 16-17 Sep,
as a coronal hole high speed stream moves into geoeffective
position.
III. Probabilidades del evento 15 Sep a 17 Sep
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 14 Sep 083 Previsto 15 Sep-17 Sep 080/080/080 Media de 90 Días 14 Sep 077
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 13 Sep 003/006 Estimado Afr/Ap 14 Sep 004/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 15 Sep-17 Sep 005/005-008/010-010/012
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 15 Sep a 17 Sep
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 15% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 20% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 10% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 05% |
All times in UTC
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