Viendo archivo del miércoles, 11 octubre 2006
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2006 Oct 11 2203 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 284 Publicado el 2200Z a las 11 Oct 2006IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 10-2100Z hasta 11-2100Z Solar activity was very low.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 10-2100Z a 11-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled. Isolated active periods are
possible on 14 October as a recurrent coronal hole rotates into a
geoeffective position.
III. Probabilidades del evento 12 Oct a 14 Oct
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 11 Oct 074 Previsto 12 Oct-14 Oct 072/072/070 Media de 90 Días 11 Oct 077
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 10 Oct 000/002 Estimado Afr/Ap 11 Oct 003/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 12 Oct-14 Oct 005/008-005/005-010/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 12 Oct a 14 Oct
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 05% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 05% |
All times in UTC
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