Viendo archivo del miércoles, 25 octubre 2006

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2006 Oct 25 2203 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 298 Publicado el 2200Z a las 25 Oct 2006

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 24-2100Z hasta 25-2100Z

Solar activity was at very low levels. Region 917 (S05W86) continues to decay as it rotates off the west limb. No other spotted regions are visible on the solar disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be at very low levels.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 24-2100Z a 25-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at predominantly quiet levels. An isolated active period was observed at middle latitudes between 25/0600 and 0900Z. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels again today.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels on 26 and 27 October. A recurrent coronal hole high speed stream is expected to become geoeffective on 28 October. Active to minor storm conditions can be expected with the onset of the coronal hole.
III. Probabilidades del evento 26 Oct a 28 Oct
Clase M01%01%01%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       25 Oct 075
  Previsto   26 Oct-28 Oct  075/075/075
  Media de 90 Días        25 Oct 077
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 24 Oct  003/004
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 25 Oct  004/005
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 26 Oct-28 Oct  004/005-010/010-018/020
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 26 Oct a 28 Oct
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo15%20%40%
Tormenta Menor01%10%15%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%05%10%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo15%20%45%
Tormenta Menor05%10%20%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%05%10%

All times in UTC

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