Viendo archivo del miércoles, 1 noviembre 2006
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2006 Nov 01 2203 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 305 Publicado el 2200Z a las 01 Nov 2006IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 31-2100Z hasta 01-2100Z Solar activity continued very low. Region 921 (S07E30)
grew in white light and h-alpha to be a moderate-sized sunspot group
of approximately 250 millionths. It also shows a degree of magnetic
complexity with mixed polarities within its spots. It has been quiet
to this point, however.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low, with a C-class flare from Region 921 distinctly
possible.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 31-2100Z a 01-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet. Energetic electrons at
geosynchronous orbit were again high.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to mildly unsettled throughout the forecast
period.
III. Probabilidades del evento 02 Nov a 04 Nov
| Clase M | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 01 Nov 087 Previsto 02 Nov-04 Nov 090/090/095 Media de 90 Días 01 Nov 077
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 31 Oct 002/004 Estimado Afr/Ap 01 Nov 004/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 02 Nov-04 Nov 005/005-005/008-005/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 02 Nov a 04 Nov
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
All times in UTC
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