Viendo archivo del lunes, 20 noviembre 2006
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2006 Nov 20 2204 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 324 Publicado el 2200Z a las 20 Nov 2006IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 19-2100Z hasta 20-2100Z Solar activity was very low. A CME was observed, in
LASCO imagery, off the east limb at 20/1830 UTC. This event is
considered to be backsided and not expected to be geoeffective.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low with isolated C-flares possible from Region 923 (S06W88), until
it rotates around the west limb on 21 November.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 19-2100Z a 20-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet on 21 and 22 November. On 23 November, quiet to
active conditions are possible as a recurrent coronal hole high
speed stream is expected to move into a geoeffective position.
III. Probabilidades del evento 21 Nov a 23 Nov
| Clase M | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 20 Nov 081 Previsto 21 Nov-23 Nov 075/070/070 Media de 90 Días 20 Nov 079
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 19 Nov 002/003 Estimado Afr/Ap 20 Nov 003/003 Previsto Afr/Ap 21 Nov-23 Nov 003/005-003/005-008/015
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 21 Nov a 23 Nov
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 35% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 05% |
All times in UTC
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