Viendo archivo del jueves, 23 noviembre 2006
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2006 Nov 23 2204 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 327 Publicado el 2200Z a las 23 Nov 2006IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 22-2100Z hasta 23-2100Z Solar activity has been very low. LASCO imagery shows
a CME on the Southwest limb at 23/1331Z. Plane of sky speed is
approximately 550 km/s. This event appears to originate from the
backside and is not expected to be geoeffective.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 22-2100Z a 23-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to active with one period of minor
storming. This activity is due to a recurrent coronal hole high
speed stream rotating into a geoeffective position.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to range from quiet to active from 24 - 26 November. There
is the possibility of isolated periods of minor storming for the
entire forecast period.
III. Probabilidades del evento 24 Nov a 26 Nov
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 23 Nov 077 Previsto 24 Nov-26 Nov 075/075/075 Media de 90 Días 23 Nov 079
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 22 Nov 003/004 Estimado Afr/Ap 23 Nov 012/020 Previsto Afr/Ap 24 Nov-26 Nov 012/015-010/010-008/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 24 Nov a 26 Nov
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 40% | 40% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 25% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 10% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 40% | 40% | 35% |
| Tormenta Menor | 30% | 30% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 20% | 20% | 15% |
All times in UTC
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