Viendo archivo del jueves, 30 noviembre 2006

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2006 Nov 30 2204 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 334 Publicado el 2200Z a las 30 Nov 2006

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 29-2100Z hasta 30-2100Z

Solar activity was very low. Today's activity consisted of a few, low-level B-class flares, all from Region 927 (N10E19). The delta configuration reported yesterday appears to have decayed during the past 24 hours. Region 926 (S10E09) was quiet and stable. New Region 928 (S07W32) emerged on the disk today as a small C-type group.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low to low. There is a slight chance for an isolated M-class flare.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 29-2100Z a 30-2100Z
The geomagnetic field ranged from quiet to severe storm levels during the past 24 hours. An initially quiet field became disturbed after 0500Z due to an extended period of southward interplanetary magnetic field. Active to minor storm levels were observed initially but there was a strong substorm interval from 0800-1000Z which increased the level to major storm at some mid-latitude stations and severe storm at some high latitude sites. Conditions have been at active to minor storm levels since 1000Z. Solar wind signatures appear to be most consistent with a solar sector boundary crossing, which was also seen 27 days ago during the last solar rotation. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux reached high levels during the past 24 hours.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet to unsettled during the next 24 hours (1 December) as the current disturbance subsides. Conditions should be predominantly quiet for the second and third days (2-3 December).
III. Probabilidades del evento 01 Dec a 03 Dec
Clase M10%10%10%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFGreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       30 Nov 084
  Previsto   01 Dec-03 Dec  085/085/085
  Media de 90 Días        30 Nov 079
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 29 Nov  006/006
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 30 Nov  020/030
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 01 Dec-03 Dec  007/015-005/005-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 01 Dec a 03 Dec
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo20%15%15%
Tormenta Menor10%10%10%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa05%05%05%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo20%15%15%
Tormenta Menor10%10%10%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa05%05%05%

All times in UTC

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