Viendo archivo del sábado, 9 diciembre 2006
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2006 Dec 09 2204 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 343 Publicado el 2200Z a las 09 Dec 2006IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 08-2100Z hasta 09-2100Z Solar activity was low. Region 930 (S04E19) produced a
C1 flare at 09/1059Z. Region 930 has further decayed and now has a
Beta magnetic configuration.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 08-2100Z a 09-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled. The greater than 100
Mev proton event that began at 07/0115Z ended at 09/0735Z, and had a
maximum observed flux of 19 pfu at 07/1610Z. The greater than 10
MeV proton event continues but is declining slowly. It had a
maximum observed flux so far of 1980 pfu at 07/1930Z. The greater
than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels
today.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled for the next three days (10 - 12
December). The greater than 10 MeV proton event is expected to end
on 11 December.
III. Probabilidades del evento 10 Dec a 12 Dec
| Clase M | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 95% | 60% | 30% |
| PCAF | in progress | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 09 Dec 092 Previsto 10 Dec-12 Dec 090/090/090 Media de 90 Días 09 Dec 081
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 08 Dec 017/025 Estimado Afr/Ap 09 Dec 005/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 10 Dec-12 Dec 005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 10 Dec a 12 Dec
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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