Viendo archivo del sábado, 6 enero 2007

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2007 Jan 06 2204 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 006 Publicado el 2200Z a las 06 Jan 2007

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 05-2100Z hasta 06-2100Z

Solar activity continues at very low levels. Regions 933 (S04W14) and 935 (SO6E10) were quiet and stable. New Region 936 (N10E43) was numbered today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to continue at very low levels. There is a slight chance of a C-class flare from Regions 933 and 935.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 05-2100Z a 06-2100Z
The geomagnetic was quiet. Solar wind speed has been in a gradual decline over the past 48 hours and finished the period near 450 km/s. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at high levels again today.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet to unsettled.
III. Probabilidades del evento 07 Jan a 09 Jan
Clase M01%01%01%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       06 Jan 087
  Previsto   07 Jan-09 Jan  090/090/090
  Media de 90 Días        06 Jan 082
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 05 Jan  006/009
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 06 Jan  003/005
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 07 Jan-09 Jan  005/005-005/008-005/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 07 Jan a 09 Jan
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo05%10%10%
Tormenta Menor01%01%01%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo15%20%20%
Tormenta Menor01%10%10%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%05%05%

All times in UTC

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