Viendo archivo del sábado, 13 enero 2007
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2007 Jan 13 2203 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 013 Publicado el 2200Z a las 13 Jan 2007IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 12-2100Z hasta 13-2100Z Solar activity was very low. New Region 938 (N02E61)
was numbered today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to continue
at very low levels.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 12-2100Z a 13-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be mostly quiet on 14 January. On 15 January, quiet to
unsettled conditions are expected. On 16 January, a recurrent
coronal hole high speed stream is expected to become geoeffective
causing active to minor storm conditions.
III. Probabilidades del evento 14 Jan a 16 Jan
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 13 Jan 081 Previsto 14 Jan-16 Jan 075/075/075 Media de 90 Días 13 Jan 083
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 12 Jan 002/003 Estimado Afr/Ap 13 Jan 005/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 14 Jan-16 Jan 005/005-008/010-015/020
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 14 Jan a 16 Jan
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 15% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 05% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 20% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 10% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 15% |
All times in UTC
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