Viendo archivo del lunes, 22 enero 2007

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2007 Jan 22 2204 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 022 Publicado el 2200Z a las 22 Jan 2007

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 21-2100Z hasta 22-2100Z

Solar activity was very low. Region 939 (S04W43) continued to grow and produced a few small B-class flares.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low to low. C-class flares are possible in Region 939.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 21-2100Z a 22-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was high.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet to unsettled.
III. Probabilidades del evento 23 Jan a 25 Jan
Clase M10%10%10%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       22 Jan 079
  Previsto   23 Jan-25 Jan  080/080/080
  Media de 90 Días        22 Jan 084
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 21 Jan  007/007
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 22 Jan  004/005
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 23 Jan-25 Jan  005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 23 Jan a 25 Jan
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo10%10%10%
Tormenta Menor05%05%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo20%20%20%
Tormenta Menor10%10%10%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa05%05%05%

All times in UTC

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