Viendo archivo del jueves, 25 enero 2007

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2007 Jan 25 2204 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 025 Publicado el 2200Z a las 25 Jan 2007

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 24-2100Z hasta 25-2100Z

Solar activity reached low levels. A long duration C6.3 flare occurred at 25/0714 UTC off the east limb around S08. An associated asymmetric halo CME was first observed on LASCO imagery at 25/0654 UTC. The majority of the ejecta was directed off the east limb with an approximate plane of sky speed of 1260 km/s.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low with a chance for isolated M-class activity from the approaching region on the east limb.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 24-2100Z a 25-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be mostly quiet on 26 and 27 January. Unsettled to active conditions are possible on 28 January.
III. Probabilidades del evento 26 Jan a 28 Jan
Clase M15%20%20%
Clase X05%10%10%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       25 Jan 080
  Previsto   26 Jan-28 Jan  080/085/090
  Media de 90 Días        25 Jan 083
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 24 Jan  001/001
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 25 Jan  005/005
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 26 Jan-28 Jan  005/005-005/005-008/015
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 26 Jan a 28 Jan
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo15%15%20%
Tormenta Menor05%05%10%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo15%15%30%
Tormenta Menor05%05%15%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%05%

All times in UTC

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