Viendo archivo del lunes, 12 febrero 2007
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2007 Feb 12 2204 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 043 Publicado el 2200Z a las 12 Feb 2007IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 11-2100Z hasta 12-2100Z Solar activity was very low. There are no spotted
regions on the visible disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 11-2100Z a 12-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been quiet to unsettled with a single
active period. This active period is due to a coronal hole high
speed stream rotating into a geoeffective position. Solar wind
speed is currently 440 km/s.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be unsettled to active with the possibility of isolated
periods of minor storming.
III. Probabilidades del evento 13 Feb a 15 Feb
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 12 Feb 074 Previsto 13 Feb-15 Feb 075/075/075 Media de 90 Días 12 Feb 083
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 11 Feb 001/002 Estimado Afr/Ap 12 Feb 010/015 Previsto Afr/Ap 13 Feb-15 Feb 015/020-010/015-008/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 13 Feb a 15 Feb
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 25% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 20% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 05% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 40% | 30% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 35% | 25% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 15% | 10% | 05% |
All times in UTC
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