Viendo archivo del jueves, 22 febrero 2007
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2007 Feb 22 2203 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 053 Publicado el 2200Z a las 22 Feb 2007IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 21-2100Z hasta 22-2100Z Solar activity was very low. New Region 944 (S10E75)
rotated on the visible disk today and is currently classified as an
alpha magnetic sunspot group. Region 942 (S10W07) remained quiet.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 21-2100Z a 22-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet. The greater than 2 MeV electron
flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels again today.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet through 24 February. Quiet to minor storm
levels are expected on 25 February due to a recurrent coronal hole.
Isolated major storm periods are possible at high latitudes as the
coronal hole rotates into a geoeffective position.
III. Probabilidades del evento 23 Feb a 25 Feb
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 22 Feb 076 Previsto 23 Feb-25 Feb 078/080/085 Media de 90 Días 22 Feb 082
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 21 Feb 001/001 Estimado Afr/Ap 22 Feb 002/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 23 Feb-25 Feb 005/005-005/005-015/025
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 23 Feb a 25 Feb
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 40% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 30% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 15% |
All times in UTC
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