Viendo archivo del lunes, 12 marzo 2007

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2007 Mar 12 2203 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 071 Publicado el 2200Z a las 12 Mar 2007

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 11-2100Z hasta 12-2100Z

Solar activity remained at very low levels. No flares were recorded during the period. Region 946 (N10W72) underwent decay and is classified as an Hsx alpha sunspot group. No new regions were numbered today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to remain at very low levels.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 11-2100Z a 12-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to active levels. The elevated conditions were due to the onset of a recurrent coronal hole high speed stream. Solar wind speeds have steadily increased to approximately 570 km/sec at the time of this writing.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to range from quiet to active levels. Isolated minor storm conditions are possible on 13 March due to a recurrent coronal hole. Predominantly unsettled to active levels are expected on 14 March. A return to quiet to unsettled conditions are expected on 15 March as the coronal hole wanes.
III. Probabilidades del evento 13 Mar a 15 Mar
Clase M01%01%01%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFGreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       12 Mar 071
  Previsto   13 Mar-15 Mar  070/070/070
  Media de 90 Días        12 Mar 079
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 11 Mar  006/008
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 12 Mar  006/008
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 13 Mar-15 Mar  015/020-010/015-006/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 13 Mar a 15 Mar
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo30%20%15%
Tormenta Menor15%10%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa10%05%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo40%30%20%
Tormenta Menor20%15%10%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa15%10%05%

All times in UTC

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