Viendo archivo del martes, 1 mayo 2007
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2007 May 01 2203 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 121 Publicado el 2200Z a las 01 May 2007IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 30-2100Z hasta 01-2100Z Solar activity was very low. Only low level B-class
flares were observed. Region 953 (S12W04) has decreased in area to
around 440 millionths and has weakened to a beta-gamma magnetic
class.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low with a slight chance for an M-flare from Region 953.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 30-2100Z a 01-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled. An isolated active
period was observed at the Boulder Magnetometer between 01/0600 -
0900 UTC. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous
orbit reached high levels again today.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be mostly quiet for the forecast period (02 - 04 May).
III. Probabilidades del evento 02 May a 04 May
| Clase M | 10% | 10% | 05% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 01 May 086 Previsto 02 May-04 May 085/085/080 Media de 90 Días 01 May 074
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 30 Apr 013/020 Estimado Afr/Ap 01 May 008/008 Previsto Afr/Ap 02 May-04 May 005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 02 May a 04 May
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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