Viendo archivo del jueves, 3 mayo 2007
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2007 May 03 2203 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 123 Publicado el 2200Z a las 03 May 2007IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 02-2100Z hasta 03-2100Z Solar activity was low. Region 953 (S11W30) produced a
C8.5 flare at 02/2348Z.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low with a slight chance for an isolated M-class flare from
Region 953.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 02-2100Z a 03-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet. The greater than 2 MeV electron
flux at geosynchronous orbit remained at high levels today.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be mostly quiet on 04-05 May. Expect quiet to unsettled
levels with isolated active periods on 06 May as a recurrent coronal
hole rotates into a geoeffective position.
III. Probabilidades del evento 04 May a 06 May
| Clase M | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 03 May 083 Previsto 04 May-06 May 085/080/080 Media de 90 Días 03 May 073
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 02 May 001/003 Estimado Afr/Ap 03 May 003/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 04 May-06 May 005/005-005/005-008/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 04 May a 06 May
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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