Viendo archivo del lunes, 21 mayo 2007

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2007 May 21 2203 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 141 Publicado el 2200Z a las 21 May 2007

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 20-2100Z hasta 21-2100Z

Solar activity was very low. Region 956 (N03W32) is decaying but continues to produce occasional B-class flares.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to continue at very low levels. There is slight chance for a C-class flare from Region 956.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 20-2100Z a 21-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet with isolated unsettled periods. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels today.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to range from quiet to minor storm levels. A weak CME observed on 19 May may produce isolated unsettled to active periods on 22 May. A high speed coronal hole stream will rotate into a geoeffective position on 24 May and produce occasional active to minor storm periods.
III. Probabilidades del evento 22 May a 24 May
Clase M05%05%05%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       21 May 073
  Previsto   22 May-24 May  075/075/075
  Media de 90 Días        21 May 074
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 20 May  006/006
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 21 May  005/012
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 22 May-24 May  005/008-005/005-010/015
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 22 May a 24 May
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo15%15%30%
Tormenta Menor01%01%10%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%05%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo20%20%40%
Tormenta Menor05%05%20%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%10%

All times in UTC

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