Viendo archivo del miércoles, 23 mayo 2007

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2007 May 23 2203 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 143 Publicado el 2200Z a las 23 May 2007

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 22-2100Z hasta 23-2100Z

Solar activity continues at very low levels. Region 956 (N03W60) produced a B5 flare at 23/0732Z. A Type II radio sweep (582 km/s) accompanied this flare and a CME was obvious on STEREO imagery. Region 956 continues its slow decay and is now a small beta sunspot group.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to continue at very low levels. Region
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 22-2100Z a 23-2100Z
The geomagnetic field ranged from quiet to major storming. Extended periods of southward Bz accounted for the most disturbed periods. Transient flow from the 19 May CME likely contributed to this disturbance.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to range from unsettled to major storming over the next three days. A recurrent coronal hole high speed stream is rotating into a geoeffective position and is expected to produce storm periods. Transient material from today's CME and the CME on 22 May will likely contribute to the disturbed periods.
III. Probabilidades del evento 24 May a 26 May
Clase M01%01%01%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       23 May 070
  Previsto   24 May-26 May  070/070/070
  Media de 90 Días        23 May 074
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 22 May  010/011
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 23 May  025/030
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 24 May-26 May  012/020-020/025-025/025
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 24 May a 26 May
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo30%40%40%
Tormenta Menor15%25%25%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa05%10%10%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo40%45%45%
Tormenta Menor25%35%35%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa15%20%20%

All times in UTC

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