Viendo archivo del sábado, 2 junio 2007
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2007 Jun 02 2203 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 153 Publicado el 2200Z a las 02 Jun 2007IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 01-2100Z hasta 02-2100Z Solar activity was at moderate levels. Region 960
(S07E62) produced three M-class events; an M2.1/Sf at 01/2152 UTC,
an M2.5/Sf at 02/0611 UTC, and an M1.0 at 02/1035 UTC. This region
is classified as a beta gamma delta magnetic group with an area of
approximately 480 millionths.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be at
moderate levels with a chance for an X-flare from Region 960.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 01-2100Z a 02-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was mostly quiet. The greater than 2 MeV
electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels today.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to active on 03 and 04 June as a recurrent
coronal hole high speed stream is expected to become geoeffective.
Conditions are expected to be quiet to unsettled on 05 June. Based
on the potential for significant flare activity from Region 960,
there is a slight chance for a greater than 10 MeV proton event.
III. Probabilidades del evento 03 Jun a 05 Jun
| Clase M | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Clase X | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Protón | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 02 Jun 083 Previsto 03 Jun-05 Jun 085/085/085 Media de 90 Días 02 Jun 073
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 01 Jun 005/006 Estimado Afr/Ap 02 Jun 005/008 Previsto Afr/Ap 03 Jun-05 Jun 010/015-010/015-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 03 Jun a 05 Jun
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 25% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 30% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 15% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 10% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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