Viendo archivo del martes, 17 julio 2007
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2007 Jul 17 2203 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 198 Publicado el 2200Z a las 17 Jul 2007IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 16-2100Z hasta 17-2100Z Solar activity was very low. No significant activity
has been observed during the past 24 hours.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 16-2100Z a 17-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been quiet. The greater then 2 MeV
electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels today.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet on 18 July. Expect unsettled to active
conditions with a chance for isolated minor storming on 19 - 20 July
as a recurring coronal hole moves into geoeffective position.
III. Probabilidades del evento 18 Jul a 20 Jul
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 17 Jul 072 Previsto 18 Jul-20 Jul 070/070/070 Media de 90 Días 17 Jul 074
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 16 Jul 004/006 Estimado Afr/Ap 17 Jul 005/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 18 Jul-20 Jul 005/005-008/010-012/015
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 18 Jul a 20 Jul
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 15% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 20% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 10% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 05% |
All times in UTC
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