Viendo archivo del sábado, 18 agosto 2007
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2007 Aug 18 2203 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 230 Publicado el 2200Z a las 18 Aug 2007IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 17-2100Z hasta 18-2100Z Solar activity continues at very low levels. A new
region, rotating into view near S05 on the east limb, produced
occasional B-class flares. The remainder of the disk is spotless.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low. Early indications are that the region rotating into view
on the SE limb will have C-class flare potential.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 17-2100Z a 18-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet. Solar wind speed declined to near
380 km/s.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled. Enhanced solar wind flow from a
coronal hole may produce occasional unsettled periods over the next
few days.
III. Probabilidades del evento 19 Aug a 21 Aug
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 18 Aug 068 Previsto 19 Aug-21 Aug 070/070/070 Media de 90 Días 18 Aug 071
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 17 Aug 002/005 Estimado Afr/Ap 18 Aug 002/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 19 Aug-21 Aug 008/012-005/005-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 19 Aug a 21 Aug
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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