Viendo archivo del jueves, 30 agosto 2007
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2007 Aug 30 2203 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 242 Publicado el 2200Z a las 30 Aug 2007IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 29-2100Z hasta 30-2100Z Solar activity was very low. No flares occurred during
the past 24 hours.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low for the next three days (31 August - 02 September).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 29-2100Z a 30-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet during the past 24 hours. The greater
than 2 MeV electron flux reached high levels.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be initially quiet on the first day (31 August), but
conditions are expected to increase to unsettled with a chance for
active periods late in the day in response to a favorably positioned
coronal hole. Unsettled to active levels should continue through the
second day (01 September). Activity levels should decline to mostly
unsettled levels on the third day (02 September).
III. Probabilidades del evento 31 Aug a 02 Sep
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 30 Aug 072 Previsto 31 Aug-02 Sep 072/072/072 Media de 90 Días 30 Aug 071
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 29 Aug 004/004 Estimado Afr/Ap 30 Aug 005/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 31 Aug-02 Sep 008/015-015/025-010/012
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 31 Aug a 02 Sep
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 35% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 15% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 10% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 40% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 20% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 15% | 10% |
All times in UTC
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