Viendo archivo del miércoles, 19 septiembre 2007
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2007 Sep 19 2203 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 262 Publicado el 2200Z a las 19 Sep 2007IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 18-2100Z hasta 19-2100Z Solar activity was very low. The visible disk remained
spotless.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to remain
very low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 18-2100Z a 19-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled on 20 September and mostly
unsettled on 21 September as a recurrent coronal hole becomes
geoeffective. Conditions are expected to remain unsettled to
active, with a chance for minor storm periods at high latitudes, on
22 September.
III. Probabilidades del evento 20 Sep a 22 Sep
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 19 Sep 067 Previsto 20 Sep-22 Sep 067/070/070 Media de 90 Días 19 Sep 069
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 18 Sep 002/003 Estimado Afr/Ap 19 Sep 004/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 20 Sep-22 Sep 005/008-008/008-015/015
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 20 Sep a 22 Sep
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 05% | 15% | 35% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 05% | 10% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 05% | 15% | 35% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 10% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 05% | 10% |
All times in UTC
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