Viendo archivo del lunes, 1 octubre 2007
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2007 Oct 01 2203 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 274 Publicado el 2200Z a las 01 Oct 2007IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 30-2100Z hasta 01-2100Z Solar activity was very low. No flares were detected
during the period.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to remain
at very low levels.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 30-2100Z a 01-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to unsettled levels. The greater
than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at high levels.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels on 02 October. On 03
October, activity is expected to increase to quiet to active levels
due to a recurrent coronal hole high-speed stream. There will also
be a chance for brief minor storm periods at high latitudes.
Activity is expected to decrease to quiet to unsettled levels on 04
October as the high-speed stream subsides.
III. Probabilidades del evento 02 Oct a 04 Oct
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 01 Oct 068 Previsto 02 Oct-04 Oct 068/068/067 Media de 90 Días 01 Oct 068
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 30 Sep 011/012 Estimado Afr/Ap 01 Oct 007/008 Previsto Afr/Ap 02 Oct-04 Oct 007/010-012/015-010/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 02 Oct a 04 Oct
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 30% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 15% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 05% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 35% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 20% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 10% | 05% |
All times in UTC
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