Viendo archivo del lunes, 22 octubre 2007
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2007 Oct 22 2203 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 295 Publicado el 2200Z a las 22 Oct 2007IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 21-2100Z hasta 22-2100Z Solar activity was at very low levels. The visible
solar disk remains spotless.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to continue
at very low levels.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 21-2100Z a 22-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet levels. The greater than 2 MeV
electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels again
today.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at mostly quiet levels on 23 October. Activity is
anticipated to increase to unsettled to active levels late on 24
October and continue through the forecast period. Minor storm
periods at middle latitudes and major storm levels at high latitudes
are possible on 24 and 25 October due to a coronal hole high speed
stream.
III. Probabilidades del evento 23 Oct a 25 Oct
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 22 Oct 067 Previsto 23 Oct-25 Oct 067/067/067 Media de 90 Días 22 Oct 068
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 21 Oct 005/004 Estimado Afr/Ap 22 Oct 003/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 23 Oct-25 Oct 005/008-010/015-015/020
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 23 Oct a 25 Oct
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 15% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 10% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 20% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 15% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 10% | 15% |
All times in UTC
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