Viendo archivo del domingo, 30 diciembre 2007

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2007 Dec 30 2203 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 364 Publicado el 2200Z a las 30 Dec 2007

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 29-2100Z hasta 30-2100Z

Solar activity was low due to a C1.7 flare observed at 30/2005Z. The most likely origin of the flare was a brightening on the east limb near where old Region 978 (S08, L=223) is expected to return.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to remain very low to low. An increasing chance of C-class activity is expected through the forecast period (31 Dec 07 - 2 Jan 08).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 29-2100Z a 30-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet. The greater than 2 MeV electrons at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels again today.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to remain quiet.
III. Probabilidades del evento 31 Dec a 02 Jan
Clase M01%05%05%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFGreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       30 Dec 075
  Previsto   31 Dec-02 Jan  075/075/080
  Media de 90 Días        30 Dec 071
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 29 Dec  002/002
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 30 Dec  005/005
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 31 Dec-02 Jan  005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 31 Dec a 02 Jan
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo10%10%10%
Tormenta Menor05%05%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo10%10%10%
Tormenta Menor05%05%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%00%

All times in UTC

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