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Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2008 Jan 07 2203 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 007 Publicado el 2200Z a las 07 Jan 2008

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 06-2100Z hasta 07-2100Z

Solar activity was low. Region 980 (S06W03) produced a C1 x-ray flare today at 1527Z. The group appears to be re-emerging but is still small and simple. An eruptive event was observed near plage Region 981 (N27W17) at about 0230Z and was associated with a B1 x-ray event as well as a small CME observed by the COR2 coronagraph on the STEREO-B spacecraft.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low to low for the next three days (08-10 January).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 06-2100Z a 07-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was predominantly unsettled to active during the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed remained elevated throughout the day due to the continuing influence of a high speed stream. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels during the past 24 hours.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be mostly unsettled with a chance for isolated active periods for the first day (08 January). Conditions are expected to decline to quiet to unsettled for the second day (09 January) and are expected to be quiet for the third day (10 January).
III. Probabilidades del evento 08 Jan a 10 Jan
Clase M05%05%05%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       07 Jan 078
  Previsto   08 Jan-10 Jan  080/080/075
  Media de 90 Días        07 Jan 073
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 06 Jan  012/013
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 07 Jan  012/015
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 08 Jan-10 Jan  010/010-007/008-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 08 Jan a 10 Jan
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo30%25%10%
Tormenta Menor15%10%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo35%25%10%
Tormenta Menor15%10%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa10%05%01%

All times in UTC

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