Viendo archivo del jueves, 21 febrero 2008

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2008 Feb 21 2203 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 052 Publicado el 2200Z a las 21 Feb 2008

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 20-2100Z hasta 21-2100Z

Solar activity was at very low levels. The visible solar disk remained spotless.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to continue at very low levels.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 20-2100Z a 21-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at mostly quiet levels. From 21/1200 - 1500Z, an isolated unsettled period was observed. This increase in activity was due to sustained southward Bz. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels again today.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to remain at predominately quiet levels throughout the forecast period (22 - 24 February).
III. Probabilidades del evento 22 Feb a 24 Feb
Clase M01%01%01%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFGreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       21 Feb 072
  Previsto   22 Feb-24 Feb  070/070/070
  Media de 90 Días        21 Feb 075
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 20 Feb  005/007
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 21 Feb  005/005
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 22 Feb-24 Feb  005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 22 Feb a 24 Feb
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo05%05%05%
Tormenta Menor01%01%01%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo10%10%10%
Tormenta Menor05%05%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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