Viendo archivo del jueves, 28 febrero 2008

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2008 Feb 28 2203 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 059 Publicado el 2200Z a las 28 Feb 2008

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 27-2100Z hasta 28-2100Z

Solar activity was very low.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 27-2100Z a 28-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was unsettled to active with minor storm conditions at high latitudes. Real-time solar wind observations are consistent with signatures of a coronal hole high-speed stream. The velocity, magnetic field and temperature all showed an increase at about 28/1330Z.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be mostly unsettled with periods of active conditions for 29 February, and at unsettled levels for 01 March due to the influence of the high speed stream. Activity is expected to be predominately quiet on 02 March as the stream subsides somewhat.
III. Probabilidades del evento 29 Feb a 02 Mar
Clase M01%01%01%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFGreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       28 Feb 070
  Previsto   29 Feb-02 Mar  070/070/070
  Media de 90 Días        28 Feb 075
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 27 Feb  006/012
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 28 Feb  015/015
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 29 Feb-02 Mar  012/012-010/010-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 29 Feb a 02 Mar
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo20%15%10%
Tormenta Menor05%05%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo30%20%10%
Tormenta Menor15%10%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa05%01%01%

All times in UTC

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